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Wrong Team Favored This Weekend
By Sean, Tue Jan 10th

This coming weekend, there is a glaring mistake. In general,the guys who set the lines are accurate. Lines usually only movea point or so all week long. This week, the guys set theCincinnati Bengals as 1 point favorites against the PittsburghSteelers. Bets have poured in and now, the Steelers are favoredby 3.

The bookied had it right, and now, a rare occurrence hasoccurred. The wrong team is favored and favored significantly.Cincinnati +3 is a gift and all experienced sharp bettors willgrab Cinci +3 -110 or Cinci +3.5 -130 (Slightly better)

Both teams are 11-5. A quick look at the season stats show thatCinci is a slightly better passing team and Pittsburgh is aslightly better rushing team. Both have created and allowedsimilar number of yards. In their two games this season, theSteelers and the Bengals each won one.

But here are the intangibles:

1.Pittsburgh won their right into the playoffs on the lastSunday of the season. Pittsburgh had

to play all their startersright up until the last minute of the last game. Cincinnati hashad nothing to play for, for the past two weeks. Cinci'sstarters have been sitting on the bench resting and recoveringfrom any minor injuries.

2.Pittsburgh enters the game with an injured startingquarterback. Ben Roethlisberger has a bad thumb and can notthrow the ball more than 40 yards. This significantly hindersthe offense.

3.The game is in Cincinnati. In general home playoff dogs coverwell over 60% of the time, but a home playoff game in Cincinnatiis like snow in Miami. The fans in Cincinnati will be bonkersfor this game.

Add it all up and Cinci -3 is a fair line in my line. Grab theBengals and cash the ticket.

Good luck.

Sean is a sports commentator for http://www.increasedodds.com

This article may be reprinted with associated footer.

About the author:Sean is a writer for Increasedodds.com

http://www.increasedodds.com

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